The Geopolitical Tensions in Sustainability & ESG: Who is Really Driving the Agenda?

26 February 2025 by Greg Brittian
blog author

​​The sustainability and ESG movement is at a crossroads. While corporate momentum behind sustainability has never been stronger, political and financial counter currents are seeking to derail it. The battle lines are clear: on one side, a majority of CFOs and corporate leaders recognise sustainability as a driver of long-term value, with seven in ten CFOs expecting higher returns from sustainable investments (edie.net). On the other, an aggressive anti-ESG agenda is taking hold in the U.S., weaponizing sustainability as a political issue rather than an economic or environmental imperative.

This backlash raises critical questions. Who stands to gain from dismantling ESG frameworks? Are financial institutions complicit, or are they caught in the crossfire of ideological battles? What role do oil majors, heavy industries, and lobbying groups play in shaping this narrative?

The anti-ESG movement in the U.S. is often framed as a pushback against so-called ‘woke capitalism,’ but the reality is far more calculated. While some political factions decry ESG as an infringement on free markets, the underlying resistance appears to stem from entrenched fossil fuel interests and industries that fear disruption. Financial institutions, once seen as natural allies in the transition to sustainable finance, now find themselves in a precarious position between political pressures in the U.S. and regulatory expectations in Europe.

The European Union, in contrast, continues to advance sustainability regulations, despite industry calls for pragmatic approaches to implementation. The recent investor joint statement on the European Commission’s omnibus legislation (UNPRI) underscores the importance of maintaining regulatory momentum to ensure capital flows align with net-zero goals. While regulatory challenges exist, the European market remains largely aligned with the long-term economic rationale for ESG integration.


ESG vs. Sustainability: Clarifying the Confusion

A common source of contention in this debate is the conflation of ESG with broader sustainability and responsible business practices – particularly by politicians. ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) - is a framework for assessing non-financial risks and opportunities tied to investments. It is largely used by investors to evaluate corporate operations. Sustainability, on the other hand, is a more holistic concept, encompassing long-term environmental and social impact, corporate responsibility, and ethical business practices beyond financial considerations. The opposition to ESG often misrepresents it as an ideological push rather than a pragmatic risk management tool. It is crucial to separate the political noise from the practical realities of sustainable business, where the majority of corporates continue to see ESG as an enabler of financial resilience and a measure of responsible and astute forward planning organisations.

The Implications for Top Talent in Sustainability

As the sustainability landscape becomes increasingly polarised, what does this mean for professionals working in the field? Demand for ESG and sustainability expertise remains high, particularly in Europe and Asia, where regulatory and corporate commitments to sustainability are strong. However, professionals in the U.S. may face headwinds as political resistance grows. This divergence could create opportunities for talent mobility, with Asia and Europe emerging as key destinations for ESG specialists.

Additionally, top talent in sustainability will need to navigate an evolving skillset. Beyond technical expertise in ESG reporting and compliance, professionals must continue to develop strong stakeholder engagement skills to address skepticism, build internal business cases, and align sustainability with corporate strategy. Leadership in this space will increasingly require resilience, adaptability, and the ability to communicate sustainability’s value proposition in a fragmented geopolitical environment.


Asia’s Role in the ESG Landscape

Asia presents both challenges and opportunities in this evolving landscape. While the region has historically been seen as lagging behind Europe in ESG integration, rapid economic growth, increased investor scrutiny, and regulatory developments are shifting the tide. Countries such as China, Japan, and Singapore are strengthening sustainability commitments, while financial hubs like Hong Kong are aligning policies with global ESG standards. Asian corporates increasingly recognise that sustainability is not just a compliance issue but a driver of resilience and competitive advantage – the pragmatism is tangible.

Yet, the region also faces unique barriers. The regulatory landscape remains fragmented, and investor sentiment towards ESG varies significantly across markets. Some governments continue to prioritise economic growth over stringent ESG mandates, leading to inconsistent adoption of sustainability principles or frameworks across the region. However, as global capital markets demand higher ESG transparency and accountability, Asia stands at a pivotal moment, either embracing ESG as an economic catalyst or risking capital flight towards more sustainable markets.


Markets for Ecosystem Services

A crucial element of the sustainability discussion is the rapid development of markets for ecosystem services - carbon, biodiversity, and broader nature-based solutions. As companies and governments seek to mitigate environmental impact, carbon markets have gained significant traction, offering mechanisms to price emissions and incentivise reductions. Meanwhile, biodiversity credits and other nature-based solutions are emerging as viable tools to drive conservation efforts and restore ecosystems.

Asia, with its vast natural resources, stands at the centre of this transformation. Countries like Indonesia and Malaysia are leveraging carbon offset markets to monetise forest conservation, while China’s expansion of its emissions trading system signals strong regional momentum. However, there is still lingering distrust in carbon markets, largely due to concerns over transparency, additionality, and the risk of greenwashing. The lack of alignment on Article 6 of the Paris Agreement remains a key barrier, preventing the establishment of a universally trusted global carbon market. Achieving greater regulatory cohesion and credibility in these markets will be essential in ensuring their role as legitimate drivers of climate action rather than mere compliance mechanisms.

The Future of ESG and Sustainability in a Divided World

So where does this leave us? Is the anti-ESG push merely a temporary political manoeuvre, or does it signal a deeper shift in global capital markets? If the majority of corporates and investors remain committed to sustainability, will the opposition ultimately fade, or are we witnessing a fundamental divergence in global financial systems? And how will Asia navigate these pressures - emerging as a leader in sustainable finance, or remaining reactive to Western regulatory shifts?

The next phase of ESG will likely be defined by resilience and innovation. Companies that can integrate sustainability into their core business models (rather than treat it as a compliance burden) will emerge as industry leaders. Investors will play a crucial role in maintaining momentum, demanding transparency, and holding firms accountable to long-term ESG commitments. And for top talent, this evolving landscape offers both challenges and immense opportunities. The ability to drive sustainability in an increasingly complex geopolitical environment will become a defining skill for the next generation of leaders.


A Need for Resolve and Agility

The path forward demands both resolve and agility. The sustainability sector must remain steadfast in its mission to drive impact, yet flexible enough to pivot strategies when needed. The noise surrounding ESG will continue, but the focus must stay on delivering measurable outcomes - emissions reductions, social equity, and ethical governance - rather than getting entangled in ideological battles.

Corporate leaders, investors, and sustainability professionals must maintain momentum, aligning ESG efforts with business value while countering misinformation with clarity and pragmatism. Those who can navigate this complexity, balancing long-term vision with the ability to adapt - will shape the future of responsible business. Now is not the time to retreat; it is the time to double down on delivering real change in an evolving world.

The future is not yet written. But one thing is clear: the stakes have never been higher.

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